SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN No. 12 FOR: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM “?#?EgayPH?” TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
Issued at 11:00 AM, 05 JULY 2015 (Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 5PM today)
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM “EGAY” HAS MAINTAINED ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE VICINITY OF MT. CAGAGANGAN, CAGAYAN.
•Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to heavy within the 300 km diameter of the severe tropical storm. •It is estimated to exit the landmass via Cagayan this evening (July 5) and will exit PAR by Wednesday afternoon (July 8). •Fisher folks and small sea crafts are advised not to venture out over the seaboards of Luzon and Visayas. •Residents in mountainous and low lying areas of the provinces under PSWS #1 & 2 as well as the rest of Northern and Central Luzon, Metro Manila, MIMAROPA and CALABARZON are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
Location of eye/center: At 10:00 AM today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm “EGAY” was estimated based on Aparri Doppler radar and all available data in the vicinity of Mt. Cagagangan, Cagayan (18.2°N, 121.9°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 95 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 120 kph
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move Northwest at 9 kph.
Forecast Positions: •24 hour (Tomorrow morning): 105 km West Northwest of Calayan Island, Cagayan. •48 hour (Tuesday morning): 200 km West Northwest of Basco, Batanes . •72 hour (Wednesday morning): 330 km North of Basco, Batanes. •96 hour (Thursday morning): outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), at 685 km North Northeast of Basco, Batanes.
Public Storm Warning Signal No. 2 (61-120kph Expected in 24 hrs.)
Batanes, Cagayan including Calayan and Babuyan group of Islands, Apayao, Kalinga, Isabela, Ilocos Norte and Abra.
Impacts of the wind: • Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures; • Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures; • No damage to very light damage to low risk structures • Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed. • A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed. • Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off. • Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed. • Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards • In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken • Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken • Rice and corn may be adversely affected • Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.
Open Sea Wave Height: 4.1-14.0m Storm surge possible at coastal areas
Public Storm Warning Signal No. 1 (30-60kph Expected in 36 hrs.)
Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ilocos Sur, Aurora, La Union, Mt. Province and Ifugao.
Impacts of the wind: • Very light or no damage to high risk structures, • Light damage to medium to low risk structures • Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged • Twigs of small trees may be broken. • Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Open Sea Wave Height: 1.25-4.0 meters
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5PM today.